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I was very bearish on AI to begin with, but recently I started experimenting more with APIs and building my own agents. And wow, I did not realize how heavily subsidized all the subscriptions were: 🧵 1/6

It’s insane and one day the bottom will fall out, and we will all be stuck either paying through the nose or looking dumb 😆 For fun go talk to the “Mac Mini gives me Opus output” guys to see how bad the brain rot is in the self-hosted model world. I guarantee you won’t go back there. 🤭

I've already had the misfortune of being surrounded with those people. They swear up and down that their shitty open weight model running on their $3000 desktop potato is on par with frontier capabilities

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This is our future: “Agentic Engineering” - finely scoped, monitored and reviews with Human-In-Loop, dies a death from token costs “Vibe Coding” - the classic “Build me Twitter” will grow more, but will shift to the shitty “Potato-Model” running 30B with 15k tokens, rotting at 6k tokens wins out