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And I can't state this enough: Our estimates of high climate sensitivity are based on the best estimates of available observations. There is a high probability (from a risk perspective) that climate sensitivity is even higher than our seemingly 'higher' (than e.g. IPCC's +3°C for 2xCO₂) estimates.

Do you have a set of milestones, which will rack up the confidence for the lay person, that ECS is indeed higher? Impacts faster than RCP8.5 expectations? Things do seem to be going fast: GMST, EEI, OHC, SST, MHW, SLR, Ocean (pH, O₂, °C), Sea Ice, Wildfires, 50°C occurrences, high min °C nights.

I know, but people (mann, hausfarther, journalists, de-facto-ipcc) keep calling you an outlier. I'm asking what will stop them saying that, and start accepting your analysis as the main case.

Is it just 10-20 more years of new data on the same graphs, and then the scientific reticence version of this: Blue: it's not accelerating Orange: 2010 onwards is very steep Red: yes it was accelerating Yellow: this is fine

It's hard to make the willfully blind see.