BREAKING 🌍🌡📈 The German Meteorological Society and Physical Society warn today that 3°C of global warming could be reached already by 2050! Global warming is accelerating - A call for decisive action 1/8
382 reposts674 likes
BREAKING 🌍🌡📈 The German Meteorological Society and Physical Society warn today that 3°C of global warming could be reached already by 2050! Global warming is accelerating - A call for decisive action 1/8
382 reposts674 likes
Cut all fossil fuel use ASAP. Cut muscovite fossil fuel use now. bloody.energy
Unfortunately, you were not entirely wrong 🙏 bsky.app/profile/tieb...
Figures not set in stone. " Extrapolated *linearly* after +1.5°C " » Although the world may not continue warming at such fast pace, it could likewise continue accelerating to even faster rates. « - @leonsimons.bsky.social
Entirely believable and backed up by other studies. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... I did an analysis here: drtomharris.substack.com/p/3c-by-2050... Oh and here: drtomharris.substack.com/p/2050-is-le...
Although estimate ranges vary. With China’s faster emissions reduction 3C might be breached 3-5 years later - eg 2053-56
That is a very optimistic estimate. 3C will be reached 50 years earlier than that. Warming has accelerated and now is at almost 0.4C per decade (and that is also increasing). Our climate is currently already at 1.5C of warming, and by 2035-38 will be at 2C, 2044-47 at 2.5C and 2053-56 at 3.0C
CO₂ emissions increasing or decreasing a few percent won't impact the rate of warming over the next 25 years much. That's mainly driven by aerosols and (to a lesser extent) methane, which both have a much shorter atmospheric lifetime than CO₂ (aerosols only days) On China: bsky.app/profile/glen...
These are GHG emissions. Even if CO2 peaks in 2025, likely that GHG emissions will still increase because of growth in CH4, N2O, and F-gases. 2/2