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Dr David Jeffery@drdavidjeffery.bsky.social

The impact of the alphabet on electoral performance is real (data from 2023 locals): ⬇️Every position lower on the ballot within your party costs ~1.2 percentage points of vote share. ⬆️Being an incumbent is worth ~1.7 percentage points so being 2nd wipes out 70% of the incumbency advantage.

11/5/26, 9:49 am0 reposts0 likes

Len Metson

@lenmetson.com

11 May

Backed by causally-identified analysis too. Important to caveat these are where there are choices between candidates of the same parties (i.e. UK local elections) / elections where there are no party labels (California local elections) link.springer.com/article/10.1...

link.springer.comAlphabet Soup: Randomized Ballot Order and the Representation of Marginalized Candidates - Political BehaviorPolitical Behavior - Ballot order has the power to shape electoral outcomes: even when randomly assigned, candidates listed first receive more votes. Meanwhile, candidates from historically...