Post

πŸ“Š GW26: Stay at the Slot machine or gamble elsewhere? 250k simulations show the distribution of expected gain by making the switch from Slot to this week's top managers available for each risk profile. Based on team ratings by @elevenify.com

4 reposts29 likes

Glasner vs Arteta: As with all of these charts, feel free to swap out Glasner with whichever flavour of table bonus manager you prefer. They're all near enough to each other that you can let your personal biases sway you!

Exactly. I'm a little bit more convinced now switching (from Slot) is the play, but I still kind of think it's only worth a transfer if you're going for the upside. It's essentially a 1-week punt if you played in 24, and I don't see why you'd apply a different logic than you would with players. ...

Arteta being odds-on to outscore Slot doesn't mean he'll outscore him by a big enough margin to warrant the transfer. And you forgo the chance of a big haul.