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Had this problem a few weeks ago. Basically breaking the whole CI for every packages publishing at this moment, that's very disappointing from such an important service.

Could be both, but yeah I was mainly thinking about open source ones. Is there a repliable way to know if npm will let you publish before launching your CI ? Right now I'm honestly just praying npm isn't down when releasing my packages.

For oss, it’s darn reliable. I think you are doing the right nothing yolo’ing that. For companies you should be running a proxy, so that’s up to you if you want to do a pre check. I do one because people so often forget to pull when manually publishing and try to re-publish the same version.