Clément Canonne on Mythryl: “"The research published today in Science Advances has found that the…”

@ccanonne.github.io

"The research published today in Science Advances has found that the state of the Pacific Ocean at the beginning of a forecast plays a critical, and often overlooked, role in determining whether long-range predictions of ENSO will be accurate." www.eurekalert.org/news-release...

eurekalert.orgScientists find key to predicting El Niño 12 months aheadScientists have identified the conditions that make it possible to predict some El Niño and La Niña events up to a year in advance, potentially giving communities and decision-makers sig...

Clément Canonne@ccanonne.github.io

El Niño/La Niña famously cannot be reliably predicted more than ~6 months in advance due to the "predictability barrier": this is a chaotic system! New research from Australia (CSIRO/UMelb) just showed it *can* sometimes be predicted much earlier, up to a full year! www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

science.orgUsing initial states to identify successful El Niño–Southern Oscillation forecasts 1 year in advanceEl Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the primary source of climate predictability on seasonal and longer timescales over much of the globe, but predicting its phase beyond 9 months has remained chal...

24/10/26, 11:36 am1 repost8 likes

Post