Today's blog post analyses the DemosAU MRP published earlier this week, which showed a small drop in One Nation's vote share producing a massive loss of seats. I explain where that comes from, and what it shows about the increased volatility of the Australian system www.tallyroom.com.au/68750
tallyroom.com.auNew DemosAU MRP – how a small swing costs a lot of seatsDemosAU has now published four MRP polls over the last year – the very large polls that involve projecting the result in every seat. DemosAU is one of two pollsters publishing regular MRPs, a…
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